埃博拉 z-bo 2020-09-16 387

　　Researchers from Massey University and Harvard College in Pennsylvania, USA, used the sensitive-exposure-infection-removal (SEIR) method to compare and analyze the 1995 Ebola virus outbreak in kikwit, Democratic Republic of Congo.

　　Professor Thomas Pfeiffer said that in Africa, where health resources are scarce, the outbreak of the epidemic sometimes lasts for weeks or even months to be known.

　　Lassa fever virus and Marburg virus similar to Ebola virus, outbreaks of these virus outbreaks are relatively rare, unless the virus outbreak is ongoing, otherwise they will not be considered in the diseases diagnosed due to fever . For example, fever in malaria-endemic areas is usually diagnosed as malaria for the first time, and fever may be diagnosed as other diseases unless antimalarial therapy fails. As a result, the delay in diagnosis led to the outbreak of the virus.

　　By simulating an epidemic on a computer, we tested a diagnostic procedure that can quickly detect the outbreak of an epidemic. Our simulation experiments show that it is very effective to implement this step, such as isolating patients whose antimalarial and antibacterial therapies are ineffective. Using this step to test cases of unknown causes is very effective. It is also very effective to use this procedure to respond to the early detection of the epidemic among health workers at risk.

　　Professor Thomas Pfeiffer said that the use of laboratory diagnosis and diagnostic procedures will reduce the possibility of the spread of dangerous viral fevers like Ebola. It will also improve the diagnosis and identification of the causes of common fever and improve the level of health care in modern Africa.

　　The current severity and spread of the Ebola virus in West African countries seem to be very serious, but in the future, increasing the level of diagnostic aid resources and strengthening the use of diagnostic aid resources can help avoid such catastrophic events.